2018-03-18 01:54:47 UTC
Basically, I am not thinking as much of an actual German-Soviet war against Poland as I am of a German-Soviet *threat of war* against Poland if their borders are not revised. In turn, what this would cause is to have Britain and France set up a Munich-style summit in order to force Poland to make territorial concessions to both Germany and Russia (after all, Britain is probably going to be unwilling to fight for Poland against a *non-Nazi* German regime, and without Britain, France probably refuses to fight). In turn, Germany is going to get both Danzig and the Polish Corridor while the Soviet Union is going to expand in the west right up to the Curzon Line. As for (rump) Poland, it will obviously become much smaller and landlocked but will remain independent.
Does this scenario sound realistic?
Also, after this TL's German-Soviet partition of Poland, is Germany going to try bullying Lithuania to give up the Memelland while the Soviet Union is going to try bullying Czechoslovakia to give up Subcarpathian Ruthenia and Romania to give up both Bessarabia and Bukovina? Or would Britain and France be unwilling--up to the point of going to war--to accept any additional German and Soviet territorial gains after the German-Soviet partition of Poland in this TL?