Post by Alex MilmanWIF Gibraltar remains in Spanish hands and the Brits NEVER have it?
Britain would be much more determined to hold Minorca.
But what if they don't keep Minorca?
Britain I think relied on Gibraltar as a base to
project naval power into the Mediterranean. That
would be much harder with no base at all. Not
impossible; Russia did it, so did the Netherlands
at times. But it would be almost impossible for
Britain to have fleets "on station" in the Med
with no bases closer than Britain.
One might see Britain cultivate a stronger
relationship with Portugal; or try to seize Malta;
or seize Tangier. I can't see Britain looking to
the eastern Mediterranean, and trying for Corfu
or Cyprus.
One immediate question is how Gibraltar affected
the War of Jenkins' Ear and the Seven Years War.
This seems to be obscure; I've never seen any
reference to Gibraltar being part of any important
operation in either war. Still, whatever successes
Britain enjoyed against Spanish fleets or shipping,
and also French ships in that sector of the Atlantic,
must have derived in some part from having a handy
base.
--
Nous sommes dans une pot de chambre, et nous y serons emmerdés.
--- General Auguste-Alexandre Ducrot at Sedan, 1870.