2018-05-05 10:20:06 UTC
World War I and Revolution" by Dominic Lieven and very much enjoying it.
What it does is explain the challengers from a Russian government
perspective, something that I have few books do well and for our proposes
it full of interesting PODs.
Here is the first one, I will present to you for your comments, mainly
because we have recently here in Alex's POD discussed a very similar POD so
hopefully it is fresh on our minds.
Russia military position by the end of the Russian-Japanese war, was
actually getting better and improving while Japan was close to breaking.
What happened is that the Russian leadership decided because of the 1905
revolution, to stop fighting.
Change a little and as we have seen here Russia could have defeated Japan
on land. With a victory its unlikely the 1905 revolution happens. Russia
then starts to drive the Japanese out of Korea and China. Although clearly
Japan would win on the sea so Japan itself would be military safe.
Would the British and US allow the Russians to drive out the Japanese in
Korea and China?
What would a defeated Japan be like? As it was the Japanese economy was in
shambles because of the expense of this war. Here without a victory, the
Japanese public would be raging against its leaders for starting this war.
As it was the Japanese public was mad and had huge demonstrations because
of the miserable terms Japan got from Russia from this war.
How many troops and resources would Russia need to hold its new position?
Dominic Lieven view was win or lose; this war was going to be disaster for
Russia. What are you views?