2017-07-15 16:54:08 UTC
But not for the purposes of "making the war safe for democracy", "ending all wars" or more selfish reasons, rather the ASBs supply more selfish objectives to the Americans.
Even if the Americans use the invasion of Belgium as an excuse, they have no intention at all at this time to send troops or ships to Europe.
Rather their objectives, are to have an excuse to seize Germany's Pacific colonies (instead of anybody else doing it) and excuse to seize German owned property in America, and to make money selling to the Allies.
The U.S. sends units of its Pacific and Asiatic fleets to Micronesia, trying to occupy the territory while not not trying particularly hard to bring the Germans to battle unless it looks tactically advantageous.
America could seek to occupy a range of objectives. On the small end, the Marshalls, Carolines and Palaus, while throwing the Japanese a bone to the north (the Marianas) and the British Commonwealth a bone to the south (German New Guinea & Samoa and Nauru). On the large end, the Americans could seek all of German Pacific territories and Qingdao, leaving none for Japan or the British Commonwealth.
A middle end idea could be just going for all Germany's Pacific islands, north and south of the equator.
Once this is accomplished, and competing claimants on the German Pacific are warned off of grabbing anything America wants, there is not much warfighting to do for the Americans.
The Americans cannot send anyone to participate in the Battle of the Marne, and after the Battle of the Marne the Americans will assume the Entente will win the war in Europe by itself. Like Japan in OTL, it is just profiting by bandwagoning on to the stronger side.
Of course American property in Germany is seized in retaliation for American measures but the US figures it is getting more out of the mutual thievery and can get its property restored or at least get its citzens claims compensated for by seized German assets.
From this point forward, the Germans will also of course feel they have nothing to lose by conducting both surface commerce raiding and unrestricted U-Boat warfare against any ships supplying the Allies.
The Americans can be ambiguous about their endgame for the war, with annexation of occupied German territories as an option but also the option of holding the German Pacific territories as collateral for securing a German withdrawal from poor little Belgium and France, at least in America's rhetoric.
After this, the ASBs pretty much let things take their course. Do the Americans make a separate peace with the Germans and vice versa some months later?
Do the Entente powers tighten the blockade earlier?
When do the Entente powers start screaming that they want and need U.S. troops to resist, turn back and finish off the Germans?
When, if ever, does the U.S. come to agree to send troops and judge it is worth it to do so?
Before any American ground units are sent to Europe, how big a movement of American volunteers to fight in the Entente armies in Europe occurs, and how fast?
When is the war likely to end, and how?